NehaScope

Why Weather Feels So Unpredictable Today, And Why Common People Should Know About AWS 

“The forecast said light rain… so why did my area flood?” 

Almost everyone has faced this.

• The weather forecast looked normal

• TV said “light rain”

• And suddenly your street was flooded

People usually say:

“Weather forecasts are never correct.”

But the real issue is not that simple.

The weather may have changed only in your area, not everywhere.

And that difference is something old systems could not capture well.

This is where Automatic Weather Systems (AWS) become important.

Weather is no longer the same everywhere

Earlier, we thought:

• If it rains in the city, it rains everywhere

• If the district is hot, every place is hot

That is no longer true.

Today:

• One colony gets heavy rain

• Another nearby area stays dry

• One road floods, the next road doesn’t

Weather has become local and fast-changing.

To understand such weather, we need local measurement, not broad averages.

What is an Automatic Weather System (AWS)? 

An Automatic Weather System (AWS) is a small weather station that works on its own.

It:

  • Measures temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind, and air pressure 
  • Records data every few minutes 
  • Sends this data automatically to weather centres

There is no person sitting there to take readings.

In simple terms:

AWS tells us what the weather is like right now, at a specific place.

Why older ways of understanding weather are not enough anymore ? 

Earlier weather stations:

• Took readings only a few times a day

• Were far apart

• Gave district or city-level averages

But weather does not follow boundaries like:

• Districts

• Cities

• States

Clouds don’t care about pin codes.

AWS helps by showing:

• How weather changes within short distances

• How fast conditions can shift within hours

This explains why forecasts sometimes feel “wrong”.

Why common people feel weather forecasts fail ? 

The frustration is real.

But here is the truth:

• Forecasts depend on ground data

• AWS provides that ground data

• In areas with fewer or poorly working AWS stations, forecasts are weaker

So the problem is often lack of local data, not lack of science.

Knowing this helps people understand:

Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees.

How AWS makes climate change real for common people ? 

Climate change often sounds distant:

• Global temperatures

• Long-term reports

• Future predictions

AWS brings it closer.

It shows:

• Nights becoming warmer in your city

• Rainfall happening in short, intense bursts

• Longer dry periods between rains

When people see changes in their own area, climate change stops being abstract.

It becomes part of daily life.

NumberWhat It Refers ToWhat It Tells You
1,000Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) across India, run mainly by India Meteorological Department (IMD), states & universities. Weather is measured locally now, not just city-wide
1,500–2,000Automatic Rain Gauges (ARG) nationwideRainfall is tracked minute-by-minute, especially intensity
5–10 minutesTypical time gap between AWS readingsWeather is monitored continuously, not occasionally
2–4 times/dayHow often many manual stations recorded data earlierShows why sudden events were missed before
30–60 minutesTime in which intense rain can cause urban floodingFlood risk depends on intensity, not long duration
30 min–3 hoursShort-term alert window improved by AI (nowcasting)Critical for flash floods & sudden storms
Millions/dayWeather data points processed using AIHuman-only systems can’t handle this volume
0 controlAbility of AWS/ARG/AI to stop weatherThese systems warn — they don’t control rain or heat
Multiple zonesMicro-weather pockets inside one cityExplains uneven rain, heat, or flooding
More stations = fewer surprisesDirect relationship between station density & accuracyGaps still cause blind spots

Why farmers already depend on AWS ? 

For farmers, AWS is extremely important.

It helps with:

• When to water crops

• When to spray pesticides

• Preparing for heatwaves or heavy rain

• Weather-based crop insurance

But many farmers still don’t know:

• Where the nearest AWS is

• Whether it is working properly

• Whether advisories are based on local data

Understanding AWS helps farmers ask better questions and demand better services.

AWS and disasters: floods, storms, and extreme rain 

Events like:

• Flash floods

• Sudden storms

• Cloudbursts

Develop very quickly.

AWS helps by:

• Measuring rain intensity in real time

• Supporting early warnings

• Helping disaster teams act faster

If AWS stations are missing or not maintained, warnings can be delayed.

For common people, this directly affects safety.

What AWS can and cannot do (important to know) ? 

AWS can:

• Measure local weather accurately

• Improve short-term forecasts

• Help track long-term changes

AWS cannot:

• Predict weather perfectly every time

• Prevent disasters on its own

• Replace human judgement completely

Weather science works with probabilities, not certainty.

This honesty is important for trust.

The future: weather information will become more local 

In the coming years:

• More AWS stations will be installed

• Weather alerts will become area-specific

• Short-term predictions (next 1–3 hours) will improve

Instead of:

“What is today’s weather in the city?”

People will ask:

“What will happen in my area in the next two hours?”

AWS is the base of this future.

Final takeaway: AWS matters to everyone 

You don’t need to remember the technical name.

But you should remember this:

• Weather is changing fast

• It is different from place to place

• Local measurement is the key to understanding it

AWS helps society see weather closely, not from far away.

And in today’s uncertain climate,

better understanding means better decisions and sometimes safer lives.